severe drought

Severe Drought But Rain Moving In

Severe Drought But Rain Moving In

Severe Drought But Rain Moving In

There is hope for an island wide rainfall for Long Island beginning late Sunday afternoon and lasting into Monday afternoon but I would caution that there has been a history of underperformance for months regarding rainfall. With deficits standing now at over a foot and a half of rain in some places, the drought situation is serious. Lakes and ponds all around the island are drying up and water levels remain exceptionally low. This is a long term issue that can’t be resolved with one rainfall. We need a long series of widespread rainfalls over a number of months.

The satellite loop shows the approaching cold front and it also shows the spinning low that was Tropical Storm Julia off the Southeast US coast. Julia is forecast to weaken to a remnant low by tonight. Thunderstorms have been firing up this morning but the strong wind shear aloft will probably rip them apart later today. We shall see. Its a shame because even a robust tropical depression could stand the chance of feeding some extra tropical moisture our way.

Severe Drought Continues Satellite Loop

storm free

Severe Drought Continues Radar Loop

storm free

The radars will be quiet today though you can see the beginnings of rain and thunderstorms approaching from the west. The present movement is more north northeast so they won’t get close to us until later Sunday. This afternoon will be nice with sunshine and some clouds. Temperatures will be in the 70s. Sunday look for a lot of clouds with temperatures in the 70s to near 80. Rain should hold off until later in the afternoon or evening. It could last into Monday afternoon before weather conditions improve Monday night and Tuesday.

storm free

...JULIA HANGING ON AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.2N 76.2W
ABOUT 285 MI...460 KM SE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Julia
was located near latitude 30.2 North, longitude 76.2 West. The
depression is currently stationary.  A northwestward drift is
expected later today, followed by a slow northward motion on Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours, but
Julia is expected to become a remnant low later today or tonight.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb (29.83 inches).

namprecip severe drought

The rainfall forecast from the newest run of the NAM model isn’t showing more than a half inch to an inch which is down from previous model runs. The National Weather Service forecast is a bit more robust for total rainfalls so let’s hope that it pans out.

Severe Drought Continues Rainfall Forecast Through Monday Evening

severe drought

FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For Long Island

FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For New Jersey

FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For Hudson Valley

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SNOW FORECASTS

JOIN JOESTRADAMUS ON YOUTUBE!

LATEST JOESTRADAMUS ON THE LONG RANGE

LONG ISLAND WEATHER

NEW YORK WEATHER

 

Weather App

storm free

Don’t be without Meteorologist Joe Cioffi’s weather app. It is really a meteorologist app because you get my forecasts and my analysis and not some automated computer generated forecast based on the GFS model. This is why your app forecast changes every 6 hours. It is model driven with no human input at all. It gives you an icon, a temperature and no insight whatsoever.

It is a complete weather app to suit your forecast needs. All the weather information you need is right on your phone. Android or I-phone, use it to keep track of all the latest weather information and forecasts. This weather app is also free of advertising so you don’t have to worry about security issues with your device. An accurate forecast and no worries that your device is being compromised.

Use it in conjunction with my website and my facebook and twitter and you have complete weather coverage of all the latest weather and the long range outlook. The website has been redone and upgraded. Its easy to use and everything is archived so you can see how well Joe does or doesn’t do when it comes to forecasts and outlooks.

Just click on the google play button or the apple store button on the sidebar for my app which is on My Weather Concierge. Download the app for free. Subscribe to my forecasts on an ad free environment for just 99 cents a month.
Get my forecasts in the palm of your hand for less than the cost of a cup of Joe!

 

http://www.fragalalandscape.com/

MENTION JOE CIOFFI AND GET A 5% DISCOUNT