Good afternoon everyone. We had a relatively cold morning for most of the area, but air has slowly modified across Long Island for today and tomorrow. However, the cool pattern remains, so don’t expect any returns to normal as reinforcements are moving in soon. Meanwhile, coastal system prospects have faded for next weekend, but there is still much to talk about.


storm free

Other than some high, wispy clouds today, the the sun will dominate the picture. As will a stiff breeze with a few higher gusts, highs 55-60 for most of the area. Overnight, clouds increase as our next system arrives. We’ll have a slight chance of showers before daybreak tomorrow, then a very slight chance of showers till around noon. Clouds will linger tomorrow before clearing late, highs in the 60’s early, but dropping as the day wears on.  On Sunday, the chilly air is back and it’ll be relatively cold. Look for highs only 45 to near 50 for the day, with a gusty NW wind. As winds calm down, we could have an opportunity for some frost Sunday night, with lows dipping into 30-35 range; maybe even some scattered 20’s in Suffolk if the wind goes calm.

Cool air remains locked into the area all next week with no real sign of normal temperatures with the exception of Tuesday. Expect upper 40’s to low 50’s monday, near 60 Tuesday, then mid 50’s for the remainder of the week


storm free

We’re still watching energy coming out of the southwest/southeast the weekend before Halloween and a reinforcing shot of cooler air. However, the likelihood as of this moment of the two combining is fading with the timing of high pressure locked deep in the Northeast. This can change, especially if high pressure is weaker and a couple of hundred miles east/northeast; but as of now there are still no immediate threats. Some may be disappointed, but this particular one was not my focus.

That being said, moisture is still pluming up from the Southwest and moving along the Gulf; and reinforcing shots of cooler air will still be heading down from Canada. Sometimes when one system doesn’t materialize, it opens the door for the next opportunity to do so. Either way, over the next several weeks, the door will be open for something pretty vigorous and I’m 80% sure it’s going to happen.

Remember, talk of a coastal system does not always equate into snowstorm talk, ESPECIALLY this time of year, so lets put that on the shelf for now.