This is a perfect example of not being able to trust the weather models too far in advance.
The Sunday storm that looked promising yesterday is now just far enough to the south for a winter tease. That is, if you believe these models. But we are still several days out and there is a lot of time for things to change.
In the mean time, skies will be improving in the upcoming days, but the temperatures will be dropping. After the chilly rain this morning, most of today has simply been cloudy. But the back edge of the storm has yet to pass through, meaning some more showers are possible overnight into the wee hours of Wednesday morning. A rumble of thunder can’t be ruled out.
Dry conditions are then expected through Saturday. As the storm departs however, winds will pickup and temps will fall. Mid 40s on Wednesday will drop to mid 30s on Thursday. The winds will make it feel an additional 5-10 degrees colder. The wind chill on Thursday morning may drop into the teens! And even though winds will ease by Friday, it won’t get any better; that is when the real cold air settles in. Both Friday and Saturday will be either at or below freezing all day long.
That brings us to Sunday. As discussed yesterday, we have two pieces of energy likely to come together. Upper air data supports the formation of a significant storm. The questions that remain are both path and placement. A strong high to the north could spare the area, much like it did once already this season.
But given the uncertainty that remains, I am not ready to call it quits with this just yet. As is the case with most of these things, I don’t think we can expect things to become crystal clear until Thursday (the earliest) or Friday. –Geoff
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Dry conditions are then expected through Saturday. As the storm departs however, winds will pickup and temps will fall. Mid 40s on Wednesday will drop to mid 30s on Thursday. The winds will make it feel an additional 5-10 degrees colder. The wind chill on Thursday morning may drop into the teens! And even though winds will ease by Friday, it won’t get any better; that is when the real cold air settles in. Both Friday and Saturday will be either at or below freezing all day long.
But given the uncertainty that remains, I am not ready to call it quits with this just yet. As is the case with most of these things, I don’t think we can expect things to become crystal clear until Thursday (the earliest) or Friday. –Geoff
Make sure to follow Meteorologists Geoff Bansen and Joe Cioffi on social media! Geoff: Facebook Twitter Instagram Joe: Facebook Twitter Instagram
And don’t forget to bookmark weatherlongisland.com!
