A cold front that brought rain overnight is departing this morning, as dry conditions return across the Island today. Cooler air is also being ushered in behind the front. This will happen a few more times this week, which the chilliest air of the season arriving Wednesday night.

Skies will feature more sun than clouds today. While winds have gusted 30-40 mph this morning, it should be more of a gentle breeze by the afternoon. As we head overnight into tomorrow morning, wake up temperatures will drop into the 40s.

Wednesday will start with plenty of sun but a weak weather disturbance will pass by during the afternoon. This could set off a chilly rain shower north and west of NYC but should just lead to increased cloud cover for us here at home.

The bigger issues will be the wind and colder air that arrive Wednesday night. Gusts 30-40 during the evening and overnight hours are possible, remaining blustery into the day on Thursday. Overnight lows will drop into the 30s in spots, especially in Suffolk County out towards the Pine Barrens – this may lead to frost advisories being issued. Lake effect snow showers well north of NYC up into the Catskills and the rest of New York State are likely. Daytime highs on Thursday likely won’t escape the 40s, meaning it will feel more like late November or early December!

Skies should remain bright Thursday and Friday despite the below normal temperatures. Next rain threat comes on Saturday with the possibility of showers. Dry conditions return for Sunday but it will be windy and chilly once again.

Looking ahead to the long-term, chilly shots of air will cycle downward from Canada in the next weeks to 10 days, with the possibility of a late month east coast storm (of the rain variety).