Downpours Severe Weather Threat Tonight
Downpours Severe Weather Threat Tonight
The Storm Prediction Center of the National Weather Service has placed Long Island now under the threat for severe weather this evening and the first part of tonight. The Satellite loop shows tropical moisture moving northward along the coast and at the same time you can see the spinning disturbance swinging across the Great Lakes.
Downpours Severe Weather Threat Tonight
Storm Prediction Center Forecast
There will be some downpours this afternoon across Long Island but they will be isolated in nature. The main threat remains between roughly 5pm to 11pm tonight from west to east. The humidity has noticeably increased today and this is an indicator that the atmosphere is getting juiced up.
Regional Radar shows the thunderstorms out to the west with the front now approaching Western Pennsylvania. There are some ocean downpours that are moving over Central and Eastern Long Island as of 11am but in between there is time. You can figure it will be at least 8 to 10 hours before the line to the west arrives. There will probably be some development in Eastern Pennsylvania this afternoon that will come in sometime this evening ahead of that line. Here is what the HRRR model has for 7pm Tonight
HRRR MODEL FORECAST FOR 7PM FRIDAY
They key will be how strong do they get and whether they maintain their strength. One thing that has changed is the marine conditions. Water temperatures have risen sharply and are now near or above 70. This is usually the threshold where thunderstorms do not fall apart. The other hope is that the downpours are significant rain producers to cut into the rainfall deficit.
Downpours Severe Weather Threat Tonight
Outlook for Saturday
Once these storms clear weather conditions will improve later tonight and there are no changes to the weekend outlook through the 4th of July. Look for sunshine, low humidity, and temperatures reaching into the 80s each day with nights in the comfortable 60s and even some 50s in cool spots. No rain is forecast through Monday night.
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