Election Day was not a nice day. Much better weather is expected today. Sunshine this morning will give way to some clouds in the afternoon. It will be a few degrees above normal, as highs should average about 60 later on (the normal for today is 56°). The cooler trend will then begin.

Albeit a very bright day, tomorrow will only reach mid 50s. Clouds increase on Thursday night and rain will move in by Friday afternoon. The precipitation could even start as some snow up in the Catskills, but it will be an all-rain event for the island, albeit a chilly one as highs top out in the low 50s. Rain will end overnight and it will become windy and cold on Saturday, beginning a stretch of daytime 40s and nighttime 30s. 

GFS model Saturday afternoon

Wind chill values on Saturday will be in the 30s, especially by the evening. Wind chill values on Veterans Day Sunday morning may drop into the 20s!

GFS temperature anomaly Sunday overnight

NOAA’s climate prediction center gives the entire eastern half of the country a very high probability of below average temperatures lasting through the middle of the month, so other than a rogue seasonable day here and there this colder air really isn’t going anywhere through next weekend.

Climate Prediction Center 6-10 Day Temperature Outlook

That brings us to Thanksgiving week. Looking at the latest upper-air date, there may be some temperature moderation as the cold pattern breaks down a bit. This would be good news as it would lessen the chances for any early season snowflakes around Thanksgiving.

Have a great day!

Meteorologist Geoff Bansen