long island weather

Long Island Weather Volatility Ahead

Long Island Weather Volatility Ahead

Long Island Weather Volatility Ahead

No Sign of Drought Pattern Breaking Down

We see very little changing regarding the drought pattern across Long Island. This week was relatively dry and this coming week will be dry other than the odd passing shower Tuesday night. We will see some volatility in the temperatures this week. Monday starts cool with sunshine and clouds and highs topping in the lower 50s. Then the next cold front approaches Wednesday which means we warm up back into the 60s on Tuesday before we cool down some Wednesday and Thursday. A stronger shot of cold air arrives Friday night so Friday we jump back into the 60s. Then Saturday and Sunday will be the coldest of the autumn season so far with temperatures just into the 40s by day and 20s and lower 30s at night. There is even the chance that we could see some flurries flying around at some point over the weekend.

Satellite loop shows a storm offshore and our air is coming down from Eastern Canada. That flow relaxes on Tuesday which accounts for the short warmup.

storm free

storm free

Longer term there is no sign of the drought pattern breaking down at all. Even though we do see a gradual pattern change taking place over the next several weeks, it will mean a colder flow but moisture sources remain cut off for the time being.

LONG ISLAND WEATHER GFS MODEL FORECAST RAINFALL NEXT 2 WEEKS

long island weather

Weather models are very dry for the next 16 days with only a 1/2 inch of rain forecast for the entire period! Of course models may shift around later in the forecast period but at least for the next 7 days Long Island will continue to be very dry and relatively rain free.

Here is the National Weather Service Forecast for the upcoming week. 

Tonight
Mostly clear, with a low around 39. North wind 9 to 14 mph.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 52. North wind 8 to 11 mph.
Monday Night
Patchy frost after 5am. Otherwise, clear, with a low around 37. Northwest wind 3 to 6 mph.
Tuesday
Patchy frost before 8am. Otherwise, sunny, with a high near 62. Light and variable wind becoming west 5 to 7 mph in the morning.
Tuesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 47. West wind 6 to 8 mph.
Wednesday
Mostly cloudy, with a high near 58.
Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 40.
Thursday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 55.
Thursday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 45.
Veterans Day
Mostly sunny, with a high near 58.

WINTER 2016-2017 LONG ISLAND COLDER WITH NEAR AVERAGE SNOWFALL.

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