Good morning,
Well, I have waited as long as I could. I had to use ‘snow’ in the title. With the incoming cold air, we will have a shot on Thursday, even if a brief one.
First, let’s talk about today. It is a very soggy morning across the island. My commute was a water-logged one, so be sure to give yourself extra time. The good news is, rain will end around lunchtime. The bad news is, temperatures will be quickly dropping by this evening, with wind picking up as well.
That means a very chilly overnight (quickly falling through the 40s) and a downright cold Wednesday morning (in the 30s!). Wind chills tomorrow morning will be in the 20s, so make sure to have all the winter gear ready to go. We will have plenty of sunshine on Wednesday as high pressure builds in, but afternoon highs will be around 40° – about 15° below normal.
It turns even colder on Thursday, as temperatures will be in the 20s in the morning and 30s for the rest of the daylight hours. Clouds will increase throughout the day and our next storm system arrives by either late afternoon or early evening.
It will likely be cold enough to support wet snow or a wintry mix at the onset of the precipitation, especially for Nassau and western Suffolk. While I don’t expect any measurable snowfall for Long Island, places north and west are likely going to see their first one of the season. It is still early, but some of the computer models are suggesting – at a pretty good agreement – 2-4″ as close as NYC!
The only thing standing in the way of a significant snow event for the island is that temperatures should quickly rise overnight as opposed to dropping, meaning any mix will become all rain before midnight. Rain will continue into Friday and start to taper off by the afternoon. It will also be a breezy and chilly end to the week with highs in the 40s. Dry and generally sunny conditions return for the weekend, but temperatures remain below normal.
Check back throughout the week for more updates on Thursdays dicey (or should I say, icy!) prospects.
Have a great day!
