Good afternoon everyone, hoping your weekend was fantastic.

After a sunny Sunday, rain moved in this morning. Today will be an all-around crummy one, with clouds and an onshore flow keeping temperatures in the low 50s in addition to periods of rain. A gloomy start to the week indeed! It remains damp and dreary overnight into Election Day Tuesday. While still drizzly in spots, the morning looks relatively dry. A cold front moves through during the middle of the day, which will bring showers and thunderstorms. Any storms would produce brief heavy rain, with the possibility of gusty winds. NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center has included Long Island in a ‘marginal’ risk for severe storms – the first of its 5 levels.

Current timing of these storms pegs the threat for Long Island as an afternoon one. This is generally good news for voters as the majority head to the polls early in the morning or in the evening. The threat for storms notwithstanding, it is going to be the mildest day of the week with highs well into the 60s.

The departure of this system begins the process of a colder pattern developing in the eastern half of the US later this week and particularly over the weekend. Weather models all seem to be on the same page with this with their usual degree of differences and uncertainties.

Wednesday and Thursday will feature mainly sunny skies as high pressure builds in. Wednesday will be seasonable (near 60) but with a stiff breeze out of the northwest. Cooler air settles in for Thursday and Friday as the numbers fall into the 50s. The next weather system moves in during the day on Friday. There is some model disagreement about whether it arrives in the morning or afternoon, but plan on having your rain gear that day either way. Depending on the timing, showers could linger through the overnight but skies will eventually clear into Saturday as dry weather takes over for the weekend, Another shot of chillier air will drop temperatures into the 40s this time, for both Saturday and Veteran’s Day Sunday. Blustery conditions on Saturday will mean a wind chill in the upper 30s is possible. Not an ideal day for yard work! Current indications are that the chilly air will stick around through much of next week. At that point we will be nearing a realistic time frame to be on the lookout for snow threats. With the air in place getting colder and colder, all it takes is one coastal system to make things very interesting.

Enjoy the rest of your day!

-Meteorologist Geoff Bansen