TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR LONG ISLAND
TROPICAL STORM WARNING LONG ISLAND
Tropical Storm Hermine is taking on the look of an extratropical or non tropical storm and from that standpoint it looks very impressive on the satellite. There is a large clear center that is developing. I think this could transform into a hybrid storm with some magnitude. It may be part warm core and part cold core for awhile.
WHAT YOU CAN EXPECT
You can expect it to remain overcast for the rest of the day and it will be breezy with temperatures just into the 70s. No rain is forecast into Sunday morning however some rain bands are likely to come in from the east during Sunday morning and spread westward. Also look for winds to increase to gale force (over 34 kts) at least in gusts during the day on Sunday into Sunday night and Monday morning. The strongest wind and heaviest rains (however much that will be) will be from later Sunday afternoon into Monday morning.
Long Island storm surge estimates for high tides Sunday night into Monday remain unchanged. The highest surge will be in Long Island Sound from Port Jefferson west to the East River. 5 to 7 feet is likely with 3 to 5 feet to the east. Along the South shore 3 to 5 feet is forecast from Southwest Suffolk west to New York Harbor with 3 feet or less east of the Western part of Fire Island.
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016 1100 AM EDT SAT SEP 03 2016 ...HERMINE STRENGTHENS AS IT MOVES INTO THE ATLANTIC... ...DANGEROUS STORM SURGE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST FROM VIRGINIA TO NEW JERSEY... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...36.1N 75.2W ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM ESE OF DUCK NORTH CAROLINA ABOUT 80 MI...135 KM SE OF NORFOLK VIRGINIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.33 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Warning has been extended northward and eastward from Sandy Hook, New Jersey, to west of Watch Hill, Rhode Island, including Long Island, Long Island Sound, and New York City. A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued from Watch Hill, Rhode Island, to Sagamore Beach, Massachusetts, including Block Island, Martha's Vineyard, Nantucket, and Cape Cod. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Ocracoke Inlet to west of Watch Hill * Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds * Chesapeake Bay from Drum Point southward * Tidal Potomac from Cobb Island eastward * Delaware Bay A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Watch Hill to Sagamore Beach * Block Island * Martha's Vineyard * Nantucket A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within 36 to 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ Satellite imagery indicates that Hermine has lost tropical characteristics, and is now a post-tropical cyclone. At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Hermine was located just offshore of the North Carolina Outer Banks near latitude 36.1 North, longitude 75.2 West. Hermine is moving toward the east- northeast near 15 mph (24 km/h). A turn toward the northeast and a decrease in forward speed are expected by tonight, followed by a slow northward motion through early Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Hermine will move away from the North Carolina coast and meander offshore of the Delmarva Peninsula Sunday night and early Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours, and Hermine is expected to be near hurricane intensity on Sunday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) from the center. A National Ocean Service station at the Duck Pier in North Carolina recently reported a sustained wind of 58 mph (94 km/h) and a wind gust of 73 mph (117 km/h). Elizabeth City, North Carolina, recently reported a sustained wind of 44 mph (70 km/h) and a wind gust of 55 mph (89 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 993 mb (29.33 inches).
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