Winter Storm Watch Long Island National Weather Service Snow Forecast
Winter Storm Watch Long Island National Weather Service
The third nor’easter in 10 days is heading our way for Monday night into Tuesday morning. This is another nail biter regarding the final track. Each noreaster impacted Long Island differently. This third one comes with cold air and a coastal offshore track so this is one where the coastal areas get more snow than areas to the north and west. We continue to struggle with the final track. Models that have handled the last two storms well continue to remain front and center. The NAM model late this afternoon painted a bullish picture for snow for Long Island especially for Suffolk County.
The NAM above is for 7am Tuesday morning when the storm makes its closest pass to Long Island. The NAM model puts the heavy snow band on Long Island with the heaviest over Suffolk County. The snow forecast amounts above are what I put out yesterday and I remain comfortable with them. The National Weather Service forecast is more aggressive and those maps are below.
There are no weather issues here until late Monday evening when snow develops. It could start out as some light rain or a mix before intensity cools the bottom of the atmosphere rather quickly. Snow will last into the Tuesday morning commute before tapering off later in the morning or by midday. Weather conditions should improve after that. Winds along the coast could gust to 40 mph or more. The position of the storm suggests that coastal flooding issues will be mitigated somewhat and they should not be as bad as the prior two storms. Hopefully this is the last nor’easter we see in awhile. 3 in a row is enough!
NEW JERSEY & PARTS OF NE PA