winter storm watch

Winter Storm Watch Suffolk County Snow Wind Thursday Brutal Cold Friday Weekend

Winter Storm Watch Suffolk County Snow Wind Thursday Brutal Cold Friday Weekend

winter storm watch

Winter Storm Watch Suffolk County Snow Wind Thursday

Brutal Cold Friday Weekend

Winter Storm Watch is now posted for Suffolk County but not at this time for Nassau County. A major ocean storm will be tracking just to our southeast on Thursday putting Suffolk County in the zone for heavy snow and very strong winds on Thursday. Right now I am thinking that snow on Long Island will be in the 4 to 6 inch range with the possibility of higher amounts to the east.

This is a very powerful storm that will produce hurricane force winds offshore. It will also pull down air so cold that it will actually be colder than the last two air masses! We may see temperatures below zero this weekend on Long Island with highs barely back into the teens.

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The energy that will produce this coastal storm is dropping southeastward from the Great Lakes as well as a second area of energy moving across the lower Mississippi Valley. This will cause a storm to form off the Florida coast and then it will intensify rapidly as it moves northeastward up the coast. The track of the storm is just barely offshore and there is some wiggle room in either direction. Models have continued to trend westward and another westward jog could mean higher snow amounts. But before that no weather issues tonight with lows in the teens and Wednesday we will see arriving clouds with highs in the upper 20s to near 30.

 

storm free

storm free

Long Island Eastern Connecticut Could See The Worst of It

Make no mistake this is going to be a major Atlantic Ocean storm that will be moving up the East Coast just offshore. We are making no changes to our snow forecast from earlier at this point but it might become necessary to raise numbers to the east of New York City on Wednesday given the incredibly intense nature that this storm is going to take on.

RGEM MODEL CLICK TO ANIMATE

long island major atlantic ocean storm

Take a look at how incredibly intense this storm gets with pressures as low as a category 3 hurricane. The radar shows a sledge hammer of snow over Suffolk county around midday Thursday. What probably keeps the snow accumulations from getting too out of hand is the fast movement so there won’t be a lot of time to put down crazy amounts.

RGEM WIND FORECAST CLICK TO ANIMATE

LONG ISLAND WINTER STORM

 

The bigger issue here may be the wind and the outrageous cold air mass that follows. During the peak of the snow fall winds in Suffolk County will be gusting to 50 mph or more and this will create blizzard conditions with heavy snow falling and visibility near zero. For areas to the west the battle will be figuring out the sharp cutoff of the snow and amounts decrease considerably west of New York City.  The air this weekend will be brutal. Temperatures will be below zero for lows Saturday and Sunday morning. Highs in some places Friday and Saturday may not make it out of the single digits in some places. This is winter weather to an extreme.

 

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